Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Blois — Orléans
Model prediction and result
2:3Came true
In short
Final score 2:3: the model's most likely outcome, Orléans to win (61%), came true.
Orléans are clear favourites: 61% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Orléans are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
- Orléans are 171 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Blois — Orléans What is xG? | 0.9–2.0 | |
| Blois not to lose | 39% | |
| Orléans not to lose | 83% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
Form
- 20.12away · Bayeux1:2
- 29.11away · Romorantin2:2
- 16.11Clermont Foot1:1
- 26.10away · C'Chartres Football3:1
- 26.10Vierzon FC1:1
- 10.01Monaco1:3
- 21.12Dieppe3:0
- 29.11away · L'Union Saint Jean2:1
- 15.11Aviron Bayonnais FC3:0
- 26.10away · Vineuil SP3:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →