Bundesliga, round 7 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Borussia Dortmund — Eintracht Frankfurt
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Borussia Dortmund are clear favourites: 68% against 12% for the opponent, draw 20%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 75%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Borussia Dortmund are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Borussia Dortmund — No. 2, 13 pts; Eintracht Frankfurt — No. 14, 5 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Borussia Dortmund: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Borussia Dortmund 2 wins, Eintracht Frankfurt 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Borussia Dortmund — Eintracht Frankfurt What is xG? | 2.5–1.2 | |
| Borussia Dortmund not to lose | 88% | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt not to lose | 32% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 75% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 25% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Borussia Dortmund
- Borussia Dortmund goals
- Eintracht Frankfurt goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Werder Bremen2:2
- 19.09away · VfB Stuttgart1:0
- 12.09Paderborn3:0
- 08.09Villarreal3:2
- 05.09away · Hoffenheim3:2
- 10.10away · RB Leipzig0:6
- 19.09Freiburg2:2
- 12.09away · Mainz 053:1
- 06.09Augsburg1:4
- 29.08away · Union Berlin3:3
Head to head
- 08.05.2026Borussia Dortmund — Eintracht Frankfurt3:2
- 09.01.2026Eintracht Frankfurt — Borussia Dortmund3:3
- 28.10.2025Eintracht Frankfurt — Borussia Dortmund1:1
- 17.01.2025Eintracht Frankfurt — Borussia Dortmund2:0
- 24.08.2024Borussia Dortmund — Eintracht Frankfurt2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Freiburg | 5 | 4 | +10 | 13 |
| 2, Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | +7 | 13 |
| 3, Champions League | Bayern München | 5 | 3 | +12 | 11 |
| 13 | Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Paderborn | 5 | 1 | -4 | 4 |
Bundesliga on the same day
- AugsburgUnion Berlinpreliminary4331261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 1. FC KölnSchalke 04preliminary4029321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
- Mainz 05Werder Bremenpreliminary5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- PaderbornHamburger SVpreliminary343036XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:13.0
- RB LeipzigElversbergpreliminary6920121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →