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Ligue 1 (Côte d'Ivoire) · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)

Bouake — Korhogo

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Model prediction for 5 November

Bouake32%
Draw30%
Korhogo38%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Evenly matched: Bouake 32%, Korhogo 38%, draw 30%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 46%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • Bouake are 116 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Bouake — No. 15, 3 pts; Korhogo — No. 16, 2 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Bouake: 3 defeats in a row; Korhogo: winless in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Bouake 1 win, Korhogo 1, 3 draws.
  • Days of rest before the match: Bouake 12, Korhogo 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bouake — Korhogo What is xG?1.0–1.2
Bouake not to lose62%
Korhogo not to lose68%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes46%
Both teams to score: no54%
Total over 2.540%
Total under 2.560%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Bouake
  • Bouake goals
  • Korhogo goals
  • Corners and cards
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Bouake

  • 24.10away · Adiake1:2
  • 10.10San Pedro0:3
  • 07.10away · ISCA0:1
  • 27.09Academie de FAD2:1
  • 24.05away · SO Armee0:0

Korhogo

  • 01.11away · SO Armee0:2
  • 12.10Tchologo3:3
  • 05.10away · Zoman1:1
  • 27.09Agboville0:1
  • 24.05Mouna1:2

Head to head

  • 08.03.2026Korhogo — Bouake0:1
  • 28.09.2025Bouake — Korhogo0:0
  • 01.03.2025Bouake — Korhogo0:0
  • 27.10.2024Korhogo — Bouake0:0
  • 24.02.2024Korhogo — Bouake4:1

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
14Tchologo50414–6-24
15, RelegationBouake41033–7-43
16, RelegationKorhogo40224–7-32

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ivory Coast Ligue 1 on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →