PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

English Premier League, round 11 · Monday, 23 November, (UTC+3)

Brentford — Everton

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 23 November

Brentford48%
Draw28%
Everton24%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Brentford are clear favourites: 48% against 24% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 60%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Brentford are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
  • Brentford are 136 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Brentford — No. 6, 14 pts; Everton — No. 7, 13 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Last 5 meetings: Brentford 1 win, Everton 1, 3 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Brentford — Everton What is xG?1.7–1.2
Brentford not to lose76%
Everton not to lose52%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes60%
Both teams to score: no40%
Total over 2.556%
Total under 2.544%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Brentford
  • Brentford goals
  • Everton goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatBrentfordEverton
Goals scored per match1.71.1
Goals conceded per match1.31.0
xG per match1.631.44
Opponents’ xG1.561.35
Shots14.013.6
On target4.34.9
Corners4.15.0
Cards2.42.3
Possession, %5148

Averages per match: Brentford — the last 10, Everton — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Brentford

  • 31.10Nottingham Forest2:0
  • 28.10away · Sunderland2:3
  • 25.10away · Hull City1:1
  • 17.10Liverpool1:2
  • 10.10away · Aston Villa2:2

Everton

  • 02.11away · Newcastle United1:0
  • 29.10Newcastle United3:1
  • 24.10away · Arsenal0:2
  • 17.10Chelsea0:2
  • 11.10away · Hull City2:2

Head to head

  • 11.04.2026Brentford — Everton2:2
  • 04.01.2026Everton — Brentford2:4
  • 26.02.2025Brentford — Everton1:1
  • 23.11.2024Everton — Brentford0:0
  • 27.04.2024Everton — Brentford1:0

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5, Europa League or Conference LeagueLiverpool943211–9+215
6Brentford935116–9+714
7Everton93429–9013
8AFC Bournemouth933314–13+112

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →