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Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)

Bressuire — AS Panazol

Model prediction and result

1:1Missed
Bressuire33%
Draw27%
AS Panazol41%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, AS Panazol to win (41%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 41% fails in about 59 matches out of 100 on average.

AS Panazol are slightly stronger: 41% against 33%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings AS Panazol are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bressuire — AS Panazol What is xG?1.3–1.5
Bressuire not to lose59%
AS Panazol not to lose67%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

Form

Bressuire

  • 17.11Bordeaux0:2
  • 27.10away · Linars3:1
  • 31.10away · Cestas1:2
  • 31.01away · Lege Cap Ferret1:3

AS Panazol

  • 27.10away · Étoile Maritime0:0
  • 10.12away · Bergerac Perigord2:4
  • 19.11away · Morlaas Est Bearn1:0
  • 29.10away · MAS Agennais5:0
  • 18.12Vitré1:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →