Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Brive — FC Périgny
Model prediction and result
1:0Missed
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, FC Périgny to win (38%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 38% fails in about 62 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Brive 35%, FC Périgny 38%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Brive — FC Périgny What is xG? | 1.3–1.4 | |
| Brive not to lose | 62% | |
| FC Périgny not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
- 19.12Le Mans1:2
- 29.11SC Beaucouzé3:1
- 16.11away · St Meziery1:1
- 25.10Étoile Maritime5:2
- 28.10Stade Poitevin2:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →