Danish Superliga, round 15 · Monday, 23 November, 21:00 (UTC+3)

Brøndby IF — FC Midtjylland

Model prediction for 23 November

Brøndby IF44%

Draw27%

FC Midtjylland28%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Brøndby IF are slightly stronger: 44% against 28%, draw 27%.

3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 66%.

Why

By the strength ratings Brøndby IF are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

League table: Brøndby IF — No. 4, 22 pts; FC Midtjylland — No. 1, 31 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
Last 5 meetings: Brøndby IF 1 win, FC Midtjylland 3, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Brøndby IF — FC Midtjylland What is xG?		1.8–1.4
Brøndby IF not to lose		72%
FC Midtjylland not to lose		56%
No draw		73%
Both teams to score: yes		66%
Both teams to score: no		34%
Total over 2.5		63%
Total under 2.5		37%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Brøndby IF
Brøndby IF goals
FC Midtjylland goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Brøndby IF	FC Midtjylland
Goals scored per match	1.9	2.0
Goals conceded per match	1.9	1.2
xG per match	1.90	1.66
Opponents’ xG	1.33	1.60
Shots	14.9	13.7
On target	4.4	5.0
Corners	6.7	4.3
Cards	1.8	1.4
Possession, %	55	44

Averages per match: Brøndby IF — the last 10, FC Midtjylland — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Brøndby IF

01.11AGF2:0
23.10away · Randers FC3:1
18.10away · OB1:2
11.10Lyngby5:2
20.09FC København0:1

FC Midtjylland

01.11away · Nordsjælland3:2
25.10Lyngby3:2
22.10St.Truiden0:1
19.10away · Viborg2:1
15.10away · Egnatia1:1

Head to head

14.09.2026FC Midtjylland — Brøndby IF4:1
17.05.2026FC Midtjylland — Brøndby IF2:3
12.04.2026Brøndby IF — FC Midtjylland1:2
01.03.2026FC Midtjylland — Brøndby IF0:0
31.08.2025Brøndby IF — FC Midtjylland1:3

Full record: 19 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1, Championship round	FC Midtjylland	13	9	4	0	27–15	+12	31
2, Championship round	FC København	13	9	2	2	28–12	+16	29
3, Championship round	Viborg	13	7	2	4	20–12	+8	23
4, Championship round	Brøndby IF	13	7	1	5	23–20	+3	22
5, Championship round	Nordsjælland	13	5	5	3	20–17	+3	20

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →