Uzbekistan Super League, round 27 · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Bunyodkor Tashkent — Xorazm
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
In short
Bunyodkor Tashkent are slightly stronger: 42% against 27%, draw 31%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Bunyodkor Tashkent are 94 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Bunyodkor Tashkent — No. 13, 26 pts; Xorazm — No. 15, 23 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Xorazm: winless in 5.
- Days of rest before the match: Bunyodkor Tashkent 14, Xorazm 6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bunyodkor Tashkent — Xorazm What is xG? | 1.4–1.1 | |
| Bunyodkor Tashkent not to lose | 73% | |
| Xorazm not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bunyodkor Tashkent
- Bunyodkor Tashkent goals
- Xorazm goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 22.10Mashal Muborak2:1
- 16.10Sogdiana1:1
- 09.10away · Pakhtakor Tashkent1:3
- 19.09Buxoro2:1
- 09.09away · Nasaf Qarshi0:3
- 30.10Pakhtakor Tashkent0:1
- 26.10Navbahor Namangan1:2
- 16.10away · Surkhon-20110:0
- 07.10away · Neftchi Fargona2:2
- 21.09Qizilqum Zarafshon1:3
Head to head
- 18.03.2026Xorazm — Bunyodkor Tashkent1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Surkhon-2011 | 26 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor Tashkent | 25 | 8 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 26 | 5 | -11 | 24 |
| 15 | Xorazm | 26 | 5 | -16 | 23 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 26 | 1 | -41 | 4 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →