PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

Primera Nacional, round 34 · Sunday, 18 October, (UTC+3) · Estadio Juan Alberto García

CA Chaco For Ever — Central Norte

Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
CA Chaco For Ever54%
Draw29%
Central Norte17%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, CA Chaco For Ever to win (54%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 54% fails in about 46 matches out of 100 on average.

CA Chaco For Ever are clear favourites: 54% against 17% for the opponent, draw 29%.

2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (1.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 38%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings CA Chaco For Ever are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
  • CA Chaco For Ever are 166 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Central Norte: winless in 5.
  • Last 3 meetings: CA Chaco For Ever 2 wins, Central Norte 0, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: CA Chaco For Ever — Central Norte What is xG?1.4–0.7
CA Chaco For Ever not to lose83%
Central Norte not to lose46%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes38%
Both teams to score: no62%
Total over 2.537%
Total under 2.563%

Match events

  1. 11′David Valdez · CA Chaco For Ever
  2. 29′Enzo Gaggi · CA Chaco For Ever
  3. 36′Leonardo Felissia · Central Norte0:1
  4. 40′Elías Calderón · Central Norte
  5. 47′Leandro Fernández · CA Chaco For Ever1:1
  6. 53′Juan Carrizo · CA Chaco For Ever
  7. 59′Agustín Lamosa · Central Norte
  8. 75′Alan Luque · CA Chaco For Ever
  9. 81′Érik Bodencer · Central Norte
  10. 90′Joaquín Mateo · Central Norte1:2
Substitutions (9)
  1. 25′Lucas Mihovilcevich ↔ David Valdez · CA Chaco For Ever
  2. 52′Mateo Díaz Chaves ↔ Brian Nievas · CA Chaco For Ever
  3. 61′Sergio Quiroga ↔ Matías Moravec · Central Norte
  4. 72′Mauricio Tévez ↔ Enzo Gaggi · CA Chaco For Ever
  5. 72′Andrés Lioi ↔ Ezequiel Pacheco · CA Chaco For Ever
  6. 73′Tomás Castro ↔ Gianluca Mancuso · Central Norte
  7. 73′Érik Bodencer ↔ Franco Vedoya · Central Norte
  8. 85′Kevin Isa ↔ Matías Villarreal · Central Norte
  9. 85′Joaquín Mateo ↔ Pablo Mauricio Rosales · Central Norte

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

CA Chaco For Ever

  1. GKNicolás Caprio
  2. DFAgustín Ojeda
  3. DFRicardo Garay
  4. DFDavid Valdez25′
  5. DFAlan Luque
  6. MFBrian Nievas52′
  7. MFEnzo Gaggi72′
  8. MFJuan Carrizo
  9. FWLeandro Fernández
  10. FWMatías Romero
  11. FWEzequiel Pacheco72′
Came on (4)
  1. FWMauricio Tévez18′
  2. DFLucas Mihovilcevich65′
  3. FWMateo Díaz Chaves38′
  4. MFAndrés Lioi18′

Central Norte

  1. GKJoaquín Hass
  2. DFElías Calderón
  3. DFAgustín Lamosa
  4. DFPedro Sanz
  5. DFLeonardo Felissia
  6. DFPablo Mauricio Rosales85′
  7. MFMatías Moravec61′
  8. MFMatías Villarreal85′
  9. MFGianluca Mancuso73′
  10. MFFranco Vedoya73′
  11. FWFrancisco Borda
Came on (5)
  1. FWTomás Castro17′
  2. MFSergio Quiroga29′
  3. FWKevin Isa5′
  4. FWÉrik Bodencer17′
  5. MFJoaquín Mateo5′

Form

CA Chaco For Ever

  • 11.10away · Deportivo Madryn2:1
  • 04.10CA Defensores de Belgrano2:2
  • 26.09away · Ciudad de Bolívar1:2
  • 20.09Almirante Brown1:0
  • 13.09away · Club Atlético Mitre0:0

Central Norte

  • 11.10Ferro Carril Oeste1:1
  • 04.10Racing de Córdoba1:1
  • 27.09away · Deportivo Madryn0:0
  • 20.09CA Defensores de Belgrano0:1
  • 12.09away · Ciudad de Bolívar0:0

Head to head

  • 31.05.2026Central Norte — CA Chaco For Ever1:1
  • 03.08.2025Central Norte — CA Chaco For Ever0:1
  • 29.03.2025CA Chaco For Ever — Central Norte1:0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →