Copa del Rey · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

CD Tarancon — Levante

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Model prediction for 28 October

CD Tarancon6%
Draw13%
Levante81%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Levante are clear favourites: 81% against 6% for the opponent, draw 13%.

3.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Levante are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: CD Tarancon — Levante What is xG?0.7–2.8
CD Tarancon not to lose19%
Levante not to lose94%
No draw87%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.567%
Total under 2.533%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap CD Tarancon
  • CD Tarancon goals
  • Levante goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

CD Tarancon

No past matches in the data yet.

Levante

  • 12.10Sevilla3:3
  • 20.09away · Villarreal1:3
  • 13.09Barcelona2:4
  • 06.09away · Málaga0:0
  • 29.08Real Betis5:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Copa del Rey on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.6
  • Coruxo FCZamorapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
  • UteboSabadellpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
  • AlcoyanoMallorcapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 81% will not happen in roughly 19 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →