PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

Peruvian Liga 1 · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

UTC Cajamarca — Los Chankas

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 13 November

UTC Cajamarca48%
Draw26%
Los Chankas26%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

UTC Cajamarca are clear favourites: 48% against 26% for the opponent, draw 26%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 60%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • In recent matches the betting market rated UTC Cajamarca higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: UTC Cajamarca 2 wins, Los Chankas 1, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: UTC Cajamarca — Los Chankas What is xG?1.7–1.2
UTC Cajamarca not to lose74%
Los Chankas not to lose52%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes60%
Both teams to score: no40%
Total over 2.556%
Total under 2.544%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap UTC Cajamarca
  • UTC Cajamarca goals
  • Los Chankas goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatUTC CajamarcaLos Chankas
Goals scored per match1.40.8
Goals conceded per match2.32.1
xG per match0.000.00
Opponents’ xG0.000.00
Shots13.411.0
On target5.03.0
Corners3.63.4
Cards3.42.7
Possession, %4846

Averages per match: UTC Cajamarca — the last 10, Los Chankas — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

UTC Cajamarca

  • 02.11Deportivo Garcilaso2:3
  • 28.10away · FC Cajamarca3:1
  • 23.10Melgar1:2
  • 19.10away · Cienciano0:1
  • 11.10Sporting Cristal0:1

Los Chankas

  • 01.11away · Deportivo Moquegua0:0
  • 29.10Cusco FC0:1
  • 26.10away · Deportivo Garcilaso1:4
  • 16.10Asociación Deportiva Tarma2:1
  • 08.10away · Atlético Grau0:0

Head to head

  • 31.05.2026Los Chankas — UTC Cajamarca2:2
  • 29.09.2025UTC Cajamarca — Los Chankas2:0
  • 11.05.2025Los Chankas — UTC Cajamarca2:1
  • 19.09.2024Los Chankas — UTC Cajamarca1:1
  • 15.04.2024UTC Cajamarca — Los Chankas2:0

Full record: 5 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →