Belgian Pro League, round 12 · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)
Cercle Brugge — Westerlo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Cercle Brugge are clear favourites: 48% against 27% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cercle Brugge are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Cercle Brugge — No. 17, 6 pts; Westerlo — No. 8, 14 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Cercle Brugge 2 wins, Westerlo 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cercle Brugge — Westerlo What is xG? | 1.9–1.4 | |
| Cercle Brugge not to lose | 73% | |
| Westerlo not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cercle Brugge
- Cercle Brugge goals
- Westerlo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Cercle Brugge | Westerlo |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 2.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| xG per match | 1.49 | 1.59 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.83 | 1.89 |
| Shots | 13.2 | 14.8 |
| On target | 4.1 | 5.3 |
| Corners | 6.5 | 3.6 |
| Cards | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Possession, % | 42 | 50 |
Form
- 01.11Royal Antwerp2:1
- 25.10away · Union St.Gilloise2:5
- 16.10away · Sporting Hasselt2:1
- 10.10Anderlecht1:2
- 19.09away · Sporting Charleroi2:3
- 31.10away · Anderlecht1:4
- 24.10SK Beveren4:4
- 16.10Patro Eisden2:0
- 11.10Royal Antwerp5:1
- 20.09away · St.Truiden2:0
Head to head
- 17.01.2026Westerlo — Cercle Brugge0:2
- 17.08.2025Cercle Brugge — Westerlo4:1
- 16.02.2025Cercle Brugge — Westerlo1:1
- 28.07.2024Westerlo — Cercle Brugge3:0
- 30.01.2024Westerlo — Cercle Brugge4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lommel | 10 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Westerlo | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Standard Liège | 10 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 | RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2 | -10 | 7 |
| 17, Relegation | Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1 | -9 | 6 |
| 18, Relegation | Kortrijk | 9 | 1 | -16 | 4 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →