Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Chambéry — Manival
Model prediction and result
3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Chambéry to win (44%), came true.
Chambéry are slightly stronger: 44% against 29%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Chambéry are 129 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chambéry — Manival What is xG? | 1.5–1.2 | |
| Chambéry not to lose | 71% | |
| Manival not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
- 29.11Dijon0:2
- 17.11St Cyr Collonges au Mont d'Or2:1
- 27.10away · Annecy le Vieux1:1
- 07.01Toulouse0:3
- 09.12Grenoble1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →