Coupe de France, round 7 · Sunday, 1 November, (UTC+3)
Club Franciscain — Aiglon
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4:0Came true
In short
Final score 4:0: the model's most likely outcome, Club Franciscain to win (41%), came true.
Club Franciscain are slightly stronger: 41% against 32%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Club Franciscain are 89 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Club Franciscain — Aiglon What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Club Franciscain not to lose | 68% | |
| Aiglon not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Club Franciscain
- Club Franciscain goals
- Aiglon goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 23.10Racing Club de Saint Joseph0:0
- 11.12Cholet1:2
- 13.11away · Club Colonial Fort de France1:0
- 07.03away · Angers0:5
- 30.01away · US Sinnamary1:1
- 24.10Morne des Esses1:1
- 19.11away · Amiens0:10
- 29.10away · Golden Lion de Saint Joseph2:1
- 05.01away · Orléans2:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Coupe de France on the same day
- 3126432The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 0:1.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →