Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Colombier Satolas — Chassieu Décines
Model prediction and result
0:2Missed
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Colombier Satolas to win (39%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 39% fails in about 61 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Colombier Satolas 39%, Chassieu Décines 34%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Colombier Satolas are 66 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Colombier Satolas — Chassieu Décines What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Colombier Satolas not to lose | 66% | |
| Chassieu Décines not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
- 28.10away · Le Puy0:3
- 17.11away · 4 Rivieres 70 FC1:3
- 27.10away · AS Algerienne Villeurbanne4:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →