Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Coutancaise — Quevilly
Model prediction and result
1:1Missed
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Quevilly to win (69%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 69% fails in about 31 matches out of 100 on average.
Quevilly are clear favourites: 69% against 12% for the opponent, draw 19%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Quevilly are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
- Quevilly are 249 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Coutancaise — Quevilly What is xG? | 0.8–2.2 | |
| Coutancaise not to lose | 31% | |
| Quevilly not to lose | 88% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
Form
- 15.11away · CMS Oissel2:2
- 25.10away · La Maladrerie1:0
- 15.01Angers2:3
- 22.12away · US Saint Philbert2:0
- 30.11away · Liancourt Rantigny1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →