Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Estadio de La Independencia
Chicó FC — Cúcuta
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In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Chicó FC to win (41%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 41% fails in about 59 matches out of 100 on average.
Chicó FC are slightly stronger: 41% against 29%, draw 30%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chicó FC — Cúcuta What is xG? | 1.4–1.1 | |
| Chicó FC not to lose | 71% | |
| Cúcuta not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Chicó FC
- Chicó FC goals
- Cúcuta goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 04.10away · Tolima0:0
- 26.09Deportivo Pasto3:0
- 19.09away · Millonarios0:3
- 16.09Alianza FC1:2
- 13.09Independiente Medellín2:1
- 05.10Deportivo Pereira4:0
- 27.09Llaneros FC2:1
- 20.09away · Deportivo Cali0:3
- 14.09Millonarios1:2
- 06.09Deportivo Pasto2:2
Head to head
- 29.03.2026Cúcuta — Chicó FC1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Semi-final groups | Tolima | 14 | 5 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 | Cúcuta | 13 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogotá | 14 | 2 | -4 | 14 |
| 14 | Chicó FC | 12 | 3 | -9 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza FC | 13 | 3 | -12 | 12 |
Next matches
- Chicó FCAtlético Nacional17 October · Colombian Primera A1725582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
- CúcutaAtlético Nacional21 October · Colombian Primera A · preliminary2026552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 2228512The most likely outcome did not happen: 23:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 1:2.2.4
- 5128211The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →