Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK
Cúcuta — Santa Fe
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Santa Fe are slightly stronger: 44% against 27%, draw 29%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Santa Fe are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cúcuta — Santa Fe What is xG? | 1.1–1.5 | |
| Cúcuta not to lose | 56% | |
| Santa Fe not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cúcuta
- Cúcuta goals
- Santa Fe goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Chicó FC1:0
- 05.10Deportivo Pereira4:0
- 27.09Llaneros FC2:1
- 20.09away · Deportivo Cali0:3
- 14.09Millonarios1:2
- 06.10away · Independiente Medellín1:0
- 29.09away · Deportivo Pereira2:1
- 23.09Deportivo Cali0:1
- 20.09away · Alianza FC4:1
- 16.09away · Vasco da Gama0:2
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Santa Fe — Cúcuta5:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Semi-final groups | Independiente Medellín | 13 | 7 | +4 | 23 |
| 6, Semi-final groups | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | +7 | 22 |
| 7, Semi-final groups | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 8, Semi-final groups | Tolima | 14 | 5 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 | Cúcuta | 13 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- Águilas DoradasFortaleza FCpreliminary5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- BucaramangaAtlético Nacionalpreliminary2830422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →