Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK
Bucaramanga — Atlético Nacional
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Atlético Nacional are slightly stronger: 42% against 28%, draw 30%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Atlético Nacional are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bucaramanga — Atlético Nacional What is xG? | 1.1–1.4 | |
| Bucaramanga not to lose | 58% | |
| Atlético Nacional not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bucaramanga
- Bucaramanga goals
- Atlético Nacional goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10Águilas Doradas1:1
- 05.10Junior FC3:1
- 26.09away · Once Caldas3:1
- 21.09Internacional de Bogotá2:0
- 18.09Independiente Medellín2:2
- 09.10Tolima0:0
- 01.10Junior FC3:1
- 25.09Millonarios1:1
- 21.09away · Llaneros FC0:2
- 17.09away · Internacional de Bogotá3:2
Head to head
- 21.04.2026Atlético Nacional — Bucaramanga2:0
- 14.09.2025Atlético Nacional — Bucaramanga0:3
- 29.03.2025Bucaramanga — Atlético Nacional2:0
- 24.09.2024Bucaramanga — Atlético Nacional1:0
- 11.03.2024Atlético Nacional — Bucaramanga0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Semi-final groups | Deportivo Cali | 13 | 7 | +11 | 25 |
| 3, Semi-final groups | Bucaramanga | 12 | 6 | +10 | 24 |
| 4, Semi-final groups | Atlético Nacional | 11 | 7 | +11 | 23 |
| 5, Semi-final groups | Independiente Medellín | 13 | 7 | +4 | 23 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- Águilas DoradasFortaleza FCpreliminary5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- CúcutaSanta Fepreliminary2729442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →