Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK

Águilas Doradas — Fortaleza FC

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Model prediction for 3 November

Águilas Doradas55%
Draw26%
Fortaleza FC19%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Águilas Doradas are clear favourites: 55% against 19% for the opponent, draw 26%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Águilas Doradas are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Águilas Doradas — No. 11, 16 pts; Fortaleza FC — No. 16, 11 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Fortaleza FC: winless in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Águilas Doradas 1 win, Fortaleza FC 2, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Águilas Doradas — Fortaleza FC What is xG?1.6–0.9
Águilas Doradas not to lose81%
Fortaleza FC not to lose45%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.545%
Total under 2.555%

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Form

Águilas Doradas

  • 14.10away · Bucaramanga1:1
  • 10.10away · Alianza FC2:2
  • 03.10CD Jaguares2:0
  • 28.09away · Deportivo Cali0:2
  • 24.09away · América de Cali0:1

Fortaleza FC

  • 09.10Millonarios1:1
  • 04.10away · Deportivo Pasto0:0
  • 28.09Tolima2:2
  • 20.09Junior FC1:4
  • 12.09away · CD Jaguares2:2

Head to head

  • 19.04.2026Fortaleza FC — Águilas Doradas2:0
  • 04.08.2025Águilas Doradas — Fortaleza FC2:2
  • 18.02.2025Fortaleza FC — Águilas Doradas2:1
  • 15.11.2024Fortaleza FC — Águilas Doradas0:1
  • 29.04.2024Águilas Doradas — Fortaleza FC1:1

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026 (Clausura)
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
10Once Caldas1344516–16016
11Águilas Doradas1337317–18-116
12Llaneros FC1342715–17-214
15Alianza FC1333714–26-1212
16Fortaleza FC1318414–19-511
17Junior FC1224618–22-410

Season 2026 (Clausura)

Full table

Colombian Primera A on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →