Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Deportivo Pereira — CD Jaguares

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Model prediction for 31 October

Deportivo Pereira47%
Draw28%
CD Jaguares25%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Deportivo Pereira are clear favourites: 47% against 25% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 51%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Deportivo Pereira are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Deportivo Pereira — No. 20, 9 pts; CD Jaguares — No. 18, 10 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Deportivo Pereira: winless in 5.
  • Last 5 meetings: Deportivo Pereira 2 wins, CD Jaguares 2, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Deportivo Pereira — CD Jaguares What is xG?1.4–1.0
Deportivo Pereira not to lose75%
CD Jaguares not to lose53%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes51%
Both teams to score: no49%
Total over 2.545%
Total under 2.555%

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  • Handicap Deportivo Pereira
  • Deportivo Pereira goals
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Form

Deportivo Pereira

  • 10.10Deportivo Cali0:0
  • 05.10away · Cúcuta0:4
  • 29.09Santa Fe1:2
  • 27.09Internacional de Bogotá0:0
  • 19.09away · Águilas Doradas2:2

CD Jaguares

  • 12.10Tolima3:2
  • 03.10away · Águilas Doradas0:2
  • 28.09Alianza FC1:2
  • 23.09away · Independiente Medellín1:2
  • 12.09Fortaleza FC2:2

Head to head

  • 09.02.2026CD Jaguares — Deportivo Pereira1:0
  • 02.11.2024CD Jaguares — Deportivo Pereira1:2
  • 14.04.2024Deportivo Pereira — CD Jaguares0:0
  • 20.08.2023Deportivo Pereira — CD Jaguares3:0
  • 26.02.2023CD Jaguares — Deportivo Pereira2:0

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026 (Clausura)
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
17Junior FC1224618–22-410
18CD Jaguares1224614–22-810
19Deportivo Pasto122379–18-99
20Deportivo Pereira121657–17-109

Season 2026 (Clausura)

Full table

Colombian Primera A on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →