Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Bucaramanga — Deportivo Pasto
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bucaramanga are clear favourites: 49% against 21% for the opponent, draw 30%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bucaramanga are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bucaramanga — Deportivo Pasto What is xG? | 1.4–0.9 | |
| Bucaramanga not to lose | 79% | |
| Deportivo Pasto not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bucaramanga
- Bucaramanga goals
- Deportivo Pasto goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10Águilas Doradas1:1
- 05.10Junior FC3:1
- 26.09away · Once Caldas3:1
- 21.09Internacional de Bogotá2:0
- 18.09Independiente Medellín2:2
- 04.10Fortaleza FC0:0
- 26.09away · Chicó FC0:3
- 20.09Once Caldas1:0
- 15.09away · América de Cali1:0
- 06.09away · Cúcuta2:2
Head to head
- 07.02.2026Deportivo Pasto — Bucaramanga0:0
- 14.11.2025Deportivo Pasto — Bucaramanga3:0
- 26.05.2025Bucaramanga — Deportivo Pasto2:1
- 24.08.2024Deportivo Pasto — Bucaramanga1:2
- 20.02.2024Bucaramanga — Deportivo Pasto1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Semi-final groups | Deportivo Cali | 13 | 7 | +11 | 25 |
| 3, Semi-final groups | Bucaramanga | 12 | 6 | +10 | 24 |
| 4, Semi-final groups | Atlético Nacional | 11 | 7 | +11 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Jaguares | 12 | 2 | -8 | 10 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | -9 | 9 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 12 | 1 | -10 | 9 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- Deportivo PereiraCD Jaguarespreliminary4728251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →