Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
Deportivo Pereira — Tolima
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tolima are clear favourites: 57% against 16% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Tolima are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
- Tolima are 133 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Deportivo Pereira — No. 19, 10 pts; Tolima — No. 8, 20 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- Deportivo Pereira: winless in 5; Tolima: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Deportivo Pereira 1 win, Tolima 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Deportivo Pereira — Tolima What is xG? | 0.8–1.6 | |
| Deportivo Pereira not to lose | 43% | |
| Tolima not to lose | 84% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Deportivo Pereira
- Deportivo Pereira goals
- Tolima goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 15.10away · Junior FC1:1
- 10.10Deportivo Cali0:0
- 05.10away · Cúcuta0:4
- 29.09Santa Fe1:2
- 27.09Internacional de Bogotá0:0
- 12.10away · CD Jaguares2:3
- 09.10away · Atlético Nacional0:0
- 04.10Chicó FC0:0
- 28.09away · Fortaleza FC2:2
- 21.09América de Cali1:1
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Tolima — Deportivo Pereira2:0
- 26.07.2025Tolima — Deportivo Pereira1:0
- 14.02.2025Deportivo Pereira — Tolima0:0
- 08.10.2024Deportivo Pereira — Tolima1:0
- 24.03.2024Tolima — Deportivo Pereira2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Semi-final groups | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 8, Semi-final groups | Tolima | 14 | 5 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 | Cúcuta | 13 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 18 | CD Jaguares | 12 | 2 | -8 | 10 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pereira | 13 | 1 | -10 | 10 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | -9 | 9 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- MillonariosAmérica de Calipreliminary5327201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →