Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
Millonarios — América de Cali
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Millonarios are clear favourites: 53% against 20% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Millonarios are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
- Millonarios are 58 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Millonarios — No. 7, 22 pts; América de Cali — No. 1, 27 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Millonarios: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Millonarios 2 wins, América de Cali 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Millonarios — América de Cali What is xG? | 1.5–0.9 | |
| Millonarios not to lose | 80% | |
| América de Cali not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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Form
- 09.10away · Fortaleza FC1:1
- 30.09away · Independiente Medellín2:2
- 25.09away · Atlético Nacional1:1
- 19.09Chicó FC3:0
- 14.09away · Cúcuta2:1
- 12.10Independiente Medellín1:2
- 05.10away · Llaneros FC2:1
- 24.09Águilas Doradas1:0
- 21.09away · Tolima1:1
- 15.09Deportivo Pasto0:1
Head to head
- 20.04.2026América de Cali — Millonarios3:1
- 08.10.2025Millonarios — América de Cali2:1
- 17.04.2025América de Cali — Millonarios0:0
- 12.10.2024América de Cali — Millonarios2:1
- 08.02.2024Millonarios — América de Cali1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Semi-final groups | América de Cali | 13 | 8 | +16 | 27 |
| 2, Semi-final groups | Deportivo Cali | 13 | 7 | +11 | 25 |
| 6, Semi-final groups | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | +7 | 22 |
| 7, Semi-final groups | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 8, Semi-final groups | Tolima | 14 | 5 | +1 | 20 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- Deportivo PereiraTolimapreliminary1627572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →