Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Dijon ASPTT — EF Villages
Model prediction and result
2:1Came true
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Dijon ASPTT to win (39%), came true.
Evenly matched: Dijon ASPTT 39%, EF Villages 34%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Dijon ASPTT are 77 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dijon ASPTT — EF Villages What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Dijon ASPTT not to lose | 66% | |
| EF Villages not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
- 15.11Le Puy0:1
- 26.10away · Seveux Motey5:0
- 26.10Dijon0:4
- 26.11away · Bleriot Plage0:0
- 29.10away · AS Bavilliers2:1
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →