Uzbekistan Super League, round 28 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Dinamo Samarkand — Bunyodkor Tashkent
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dinamo Samarkand are clear favourites: 53% against 21% for the opponent, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Dinamo Samarkand are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Dinamo Samarkand are 177 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Dinamo Samarkand — No. 9, 34 pts; Bunyodkor Tashkent — No. 13, 26 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dinamo Samarkand — Bunyodkor Tashkent What is xG? | 2.0–1.2 | |
| Dinamo Samarkand not to lose | 79% | |
| Bunyodkor Tashkent not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Dinamo Samarkand
- Dinamo Samarkand goals
- Bunyodkor Tashkent goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 31.10away · Mashal Muborak3:0
- 25.10Andijon1:1
- 17.10Buxoro1:2
- 09.10away · Nasaf Qarshi1:2
- 17.09away · Navbahor Namangan2:3
- 22.10Mashal Muborak2:1
- 16.10Sogdiana1:1
- 09.10away · Pakhtakor Tashkent1:3
- 19.09Buxoro2:1
- 09.09away · Nasaf Qarshi0:3
Head to head
- 06.03.2026Bunyodkor Tashkent — Dinamo Samarkand1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Qizilqum Zarafshon | 26 | 10 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Dinamo Samarkand | 26 | 9 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Andijon | 26 | 9 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Surkhon-2011 | 26 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor Tashkent | 25 | 8 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 26 | 5 | -11 | 24 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →