Nigeria NPFL, round 13 · Saturday, 14 November, (UTC+3)
Doma United — Barau
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Doma United are slightly stronger: 38% against 30%, draw 32%.
2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 42%.
Facts
- League table: Doma United — No. 12, 15 pts; Barau — No. 7, 16 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Barau: unbeaten in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Doma United — Barau What is xG? | 1.1–0.9 | |
| Doma United not to lose | 70% | |
| Barau not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 58% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 34% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Doma United
- Doma United goals
- Barau goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 31.10Ikorodu City2:2
- 17.10Kun Khalifat1:1
- 11.10away · Nasarawa United0:2
- 04.10Warri Wolves FC1:0
- 27.09away · Katsina United1:2
- 30.10away · Niger Tornadoes0:0
- 25.10Kwara United1:1
- 19.10away · Rivers United FC0:0
- 11.10Enugu Rangers2:2
- 04.10away · Bendel Insurance1:4
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Plateau United | 11 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 | Barau | 11 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 | Niger Tornadoes | 11 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 11 | Sporting Lagos | 10 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Doma United | 10 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Ikorodu City | 11 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →