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South African Premiership · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Durban City — Polokwane City

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Model prediction for 24 November

Durban City43%
Draw34%
Polokwane City24%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Durban City are slightly stronger: 43% against 24%, draw 34%.

The model expects few goals: 1.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 26%, both teams to score — 34%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • Durban City are 84 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Durban City — No. 13, 7 pts; Polokwane City — No. 11, 8 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Durban City: winless in 5; Polokwane City: winless in 5.
  • Last 2 meetings: Durban City 1 win, Polokwane City 0, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Durban City — Polokwane City What is xG?1.0–0.7
Durban City not to lose76%
Polokwane City not to lose57%
No draw66%
Both teams to score: yes34%
Both teams to score: no66%
Total over 2.526%
Total under 2.574%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Durban City
  • Durban City goals
  • Polokwane City goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatDurban CityPolokwane City
Goals scored per match0.50.9
Goals conceded per match1.01.2
xG per match0.920.88
Opponents’ xG1.170.88
Shots10.99.8
On target3.62.5
Corners4.34.4
Cards1.91.6
Possession, %4841

Averages per match: Durban City — the last 10, Polokwane City — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Durban City

  • 31.10away · Mamelodi Sundowns FC1:4
  • 13.10AmaZulu FC1:2
  • 20.09away · Milford FC1:1
  • 17.09away · Orlando Pirates0:2
  • 01.09Stellenbosch FC0:0

Polokwane City

  • 31.10TS Galaxy0:0
  • 18.10away · Siwelele0:1
  • 19.09AmaZulu FC0:1
  • 12.09Kaizer Chiefs1:1
  • 04.09away · Marumo Gallants2:2

Head to head

  • 25.01.2026Durban City — Polokwane City1:0
  • 26.08.2025Polokwane City — Durban City0:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
10Lamontville Golden Arrows91533–5-28
11Polokwane City91538–11-38
12TS Galaxy91447–12-57
13Durban City91446–11-57
14Siwelele91359–16-76

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →