2. Bundesliga, round 11 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Dynamo Dresden — Greuther Fürth
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dynamo Dresden are clear favourites: 47% against 26% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Dynamo Dresden are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Dynamo Dresden are 84 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Dynamo Dresden — No. 17, 5 pts; Greuther Fürth — No. 15, 6 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Dynamo Dresden: winless in 5; Greuther Fürth: winless in 4.
- Last 2 meetings: Dynamo Dresden 1 win, Greuther Fürth 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dynamo Dresden — Greuther Fürth What is xG? | 1.7–1.3 | |
| Dynamo Dresden not to lose | 74% | |
| Greuther Fürth not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Dynamo Dresden
- Dynamo Dresden goals
- Greuther Fürth goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · VfL Osnabrück1:1
- 19.09Hertha BSC1:2
- 12.09away · Eintracht Braunschweig2:2
- 05.09Bochum1:2
- 29.08away · FC Heidenheim3:5
- 11.10away · Hertha BSC1:2
- 18.09Magdeburg1:1
- 12.09away · Bochum1:1
- 06.09FC Heidenheim0:1
- 29.08away · Energie Cottbus4:3
Head to head
- 17.01.2026Dynamo Dresden — Greuther Fürth2:0
- 03.08.2025Greuther Fürth — Dynamo Dresden3:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Darmstadt | 7 | 2 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Greuther Fürth | 7 | 1 | -3 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Holstein Kiel | 8 | 0 | -4 | 5 |
| 17, Relegation | Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | -6 | 5 |
| 18, Relegation | Karlsruher SC | 7 | 1 | -8 | 5 |
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- Eintracht BraunschweigEnergie Cottbuspreliminary3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →