Nigeria NPFL, round 9 · Wednesday, 4 November, 18:00 (UTC+3)

Enugu Rangers — Bendel Insurance

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Model prediction for 4 November

Enugu Rangers71%

Draw19%

Bendel Insurance10%

Model estimate at 08:25 (UTC+3)

In short

Enugu Rangers are clear favourites: 71% against 10% for the opponent, draw 19%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.5 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 39%.

Why

By the strength ratings Enugu Rangers are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Enugu Rangers are 150 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

League table: Enugu Rangers — No. 2, 18 pts; Bendel Insurance — No. 3, 18 pts.
Enugu Rangers: unbeaten in 4.
Last 5 meetings: Enugu Rangers 3 wins, Bendel Insurance 0, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Enugu Rangers — Bendel Insurance What is xG?		1.9–0.6
Enugu Rangers not to lose		90%
Bendel Insurance not to lose		29%
No draw		81%
Both teams to score: yes		39%
Both teams to score: no		61%
Total over 2.5		44%
Total under 2.5		56%

91 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Enugu Rangers
Enugu Rangers goals
Bendel Insurance goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Enugu Rangers

01.11away · Rivers United FC1:1
11.10away · Barau2:2
04.10Abia Warriors3:1
30.09away · Warri Wolves FC1:0
27.09away · Ikorodu City0:2

Bendel Insurance

01.11away · Kwara United2:1
25.10Rivers United FC2:1
11.10away · Sporting Lagos1:2
04.10Barau4:1
27.09away · Abia Warriors0:3

Head to head

10.05.2026Enugu Rangers — Bendel Insurance2:1
13.12.2025Bendel Insurance — Enugu Rangers1:1
05.04.2025Bendel Insurance — Enugu Rangers0:0
17.11.2024Enugu Rangers — Bendel Insurance3:2
16.06.2024Enugu Rangers — Bendel Insurance2:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1	Rivers United FC	11	4	6	1	15–5	+10	18
2	Enugu Rangers	9	5	3	1	15–10	+5	18
3	Bendel Insurance	10	6	0	4	18–15	+3	18
4	Kano Pillars	11	4	6	1	14–11	+3	18

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →