Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Espoir Foot 88 — La Juventus De Papus
Model prediction and result
1:3Missed
In short
Final score 1:3: the model's most likely outcome, Espoir Foot 88 to win (39%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 39% fails in about 61 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Espoir Foot 88 39%, La Juventus De Papus 34%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Espoir Foot 88 are 70 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Espoir Foot 88 — La Juventus De Papus What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Espoir Foot 88 not to lose | 66% | |
| La Juventus De Papus not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →