English Premier League, round 10 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Everton — Coventry City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Everton are clear favourites: 47% against 24% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Everton are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Everton are 125 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Everton — No. 5, 10 pts; Coventry City — No. 14, 6 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Everton: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Everton — Coventry City What is xG? | 1.7–1.2 | |
| Everton not to lose | 76% | |
| Coventry City not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Everton
- Everton goals
- Coventry City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · Hull City2:2
- 19.09Ipswich Town1:0
- 16.09Wolverhampton Wanderers1:0
- 12.09away · Tottenham Hotspur0:0
- 06.09Manchester United2:2
- 12.10Newcastle United4:1
- 19.09away · Nottingham Forest1:0
- 16.09Aston Villa1:3
- 13.09Brighton & Hove Albion0:5
- 05.09away · Manchester City0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Champions League | Brentford | 6 | 2 | +6 | 10 |
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Everton | 6 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry City | 6 | 2 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →