Botola Pro (Morocco), round 1 · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3) · Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium
FAR Rabat — Raja Casablanca
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
In short
FAR Rabat are clear favourites: 45% against 24% for the opponent, draw 32%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FAR Rabat are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- FAR Rabat are 122 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: FAR Rabat — No. 6, 8 pts; Raja Casablanca — No. 13, 6 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- FAR Rabat: unbeaten in 5; Raja Casablanca: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: FAR Rabat 2 wins, Raja Casablanca 0, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FAR Rabat — Raja Casablanca What is xG? | 1.2–0.9 | |
| FAR Rabat not to lose | 76% | |
| Raja Casablanca not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 36% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FAR Rabat
- FAR Rabat goals
- Raja Casablanca goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
FAR Rabat · out or doubtful: 2
- Khalid Aït OuarkhaneInjury · expected back: mid November
- Salaheddine ErrahouliInjury · expected back: early December
Raja Casablanca
The lineups are not out yet: the official ones come about an hour before kick-off. See the lineups
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | FAR Rabat | Raja Casablanca |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 9.5 | 8.1 |
| On target | 4.8 | 4.0 |
| Corners | 3.6 | 4.5 |
| Cards | 2.1 | 3.0 |
| Possession, % | 53 | 53 |
Last starting lineups
FAR Rabat
- GKAhmed Tagnaouti
- DFAnas Bach
- DFMarouane Louadni
- DFFallou Mendy
- DFTó Carneiro
- DFNadir Lougmani
- MFMerveil Ndockyt
- MFAbdelfettah Hadraf
- MFSoulaimane El Bouchqali
- FWYoussef El Fahli
- FWJephte Kitambala
Bench (8)
- FWAhmed Hammoudan
- DFJamal Ech-Chemmakh
- FWMouhcine Bouriga
- FWMarouane Oujeddou
- MFZine Derrag
- GKMohamed Jemjami
- FWAllan Okello
- MFNabil Marmouk
Raja Casablanca
- GKEl Mehdi Al Harrar
- DFBadr Banoune
- DFMarian Huja
- DFMohamed Boulacsou
- DFIsmail Mokadem
- DFChemseddine Knaidil
- DFBouchaib Arrassi
- MFIshak Zidani
- MFOthmane Chraibi
- FWMathias Oyewusi
- FWIsmail Khafi
Bench (9)
- FWMohammad Abuzraiq
- MFMichael Agbekpornu
- GKYassine Zoubir
- MFMohamed Al-Makahasi
- FWYahya Iguiz
- FWAzzedine Laftah
- FWYouness Dahmani
- DFAyoub El Amloud
- FWFelipinho
Form
- 01.11away · CODM Meknès0:0
- 28.10Ittihad Tanger2:0
- 12.10away · Hassania Agadir2:2
- 08.10Widad Temara1:0
- 05.07Renaissance Club Zemamra0:0
- 01.11away · RS Berkane0:2
- 28.10Hassania Agadir1:1
- 13.10away · FUS Rabat1:1
- 08.10away · MAS Fès0:0
- 03.10Renaissance Club Zemamra1:0
Head to head
- 30.04.2026FAR Rabat — Raja Casablanca2:1
- 17.09.2025Raja Casablanca — FAR Rabat0:0
- 23.02.2025FAR Rabat — Raja Casablanca0:0
- 11.01.2025FAR Rabat — Raja Casablanca1:1
- 26.11.2024Raja Casablanca — FAR Rabat0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Widad Temara | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 | FAR Rabat | 4 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 7 | Hassania Agadir | 6 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 12 | RS Berkane | 5 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Raja Casablanca | 5 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | US Amal Tiznit | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →