Turkish Cup, round 3 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Fatih Karagümrük — Soma Spor Dernegi
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Fatih Karagümrük are clear favourites: 75% against 9% for the opponent, draw 16%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Fatih Karagümrük are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fatih Karagümrük — Soma Spor Dernegi What is xG? | 2.5–0.8 | |
| Fatih Karagümrük not to lose | 91% | |
| Soma Spor Dernegi not to lose | 25% | |
| No draw | 84% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Fatih Karagümrük
- Fatih Karagümrük goals
- Soma Spor Dernegi goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 16.05Alanyaspor2:1
- 09.05away · Kocaelispor1:0
- 03.05Gençlerbirliği1:0
- 27.04away · Beşiktaş0:0
- 18.04Eyüpspor1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Turkish Cup on the same day
- SakaryasporBursa Yıldırımsporpreliminary3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- ElazığsporErciyes 38preliminary4127331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Kastamonuspor 196624 Erzincansporpreliminary3727361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Etimesgut Spor KulubuGaziantep FKpreliminary1420662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- SarıyerAyvalikgücü Belediyesporpreliminary3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Ağrı 1970 Sporİstanbulsporpreliminary1421652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- BalıkesirsporArnavutköy Belediyesporpreliminary3827361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- FethiyesporEyüpsporpreliminary1923582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →