Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
FC 2 Rives 82 — Stade Beaucairois 30
Model prediction and result
1:1Missed
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, FC 2 Rives 82 to win (39%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 39% fails in about 61 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: FC 2 Rives 82 39%, Stade Beaucairois 30 34%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- FC 2 Rives 82 are 70 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC 2 Rives 82 — Stade Beaucairois 30 What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| FC 2 Rives 82 not to lose | 66% | |
| Stade Beaucairois 30 not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
- 26.10away · Mauguio Carnon0:0
- 16.11away · Olympique Alès2:4
- 26.10Nîmes3:2
- 28.10away · Olympique Alès1:2
- 31.01away · Canet Roussillon0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →