Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
FC 3 Vallees 86 — ES Buxerolles
Model prediction and result
0:1Missed
In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, FC 3 Vallees 86 to win (44%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 44% fails in about 56 matches out of 100 on average.
FC 3 Vallees 86 are slightly stronger: 44% against 30%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- FC 3 Vallees 86 are 115 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC 3 Vallees 86 — ES Buxerolles What is xG? | 1.5–1.2 | |
| FC 3 Vallees 86 not to lose | 70% | |
| ES Buxerolles not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →