Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
FC Claira St Laurent — Clermontaise
Model prediction and result
2:2Missed
In short
Final score 2:2: the model's most likely outcome, FC Claira St Laurent to win (39%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 39% fails in about 61 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: FC Claira St Laurent 39%, Clermontaise 34%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- FC Claira St Laurent are 70 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Claira St Laurent — Clermontaise What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| FC Claira St Laurent not to lose | 66% | |
| Clermontaise not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →