Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 4 · Friday, 20 November, (UTC+3)
FC Porto — Paredes
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Porto are clear favourites: 96% against 1% for the opponent, draw 3%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 87%, both teams to score — 34%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Porto are about 2.2 goals per match stronger.
- FC Porto are 735 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Porto — Paredes What is xG? | 4.6–0.4 | |
| FC Porto not to lose | 99% | |
| Paredes not to lose | 4% | |
| No draw | 97% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 34% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 66% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 87% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 13% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Porto
- FC Porto goals
- Paredes goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 31.10Estoril4:0
- 24.10away · Gil Vicente1:0
- 20.10PSV Eindhoven0:1
- 14.10away · Real Betis2:3
- 10.10away · Marítimo2:1
- 18.10Famalicão1:0
- 20.09Maria da Fonte5:1
- 20.09Chaves0:2
- 20.10away · SC João Ver1:4
- 22.09Vilaverdense FC3:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 96% will not happen in roughly 4 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →