Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
FC Riom — Moulins Yzeure
Model prediction and result
1:0Missed
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Moulins Yzeure to win (42%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 42% fails in about 58 matches out of 100 on average.
Moulins Yzeure are slightly stronger: 42% against 31%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Moulins Yzeure are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Riom — Moulins Yzeure What is xG? | 1.3–1.5 | |
| FC Riom not to lose | 58% | |
| Moulins Yzeure not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 15.10away · Cournon d'Auvergne1:1
- 27.11away · Venissieux FC1:1
- 13.11away · CS Neuvillois2:1
- 30.10away · Chamalières1:0
- 07.02away · Chamalières0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →