Eredivisie (Netherlands), round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
FC Twente — FC Utrecht
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
FC Twente are clear favourites: 61% against 16% for the opponent, draw 23%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Twente are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Twente — FC Utrecht What is xG? | 2.0–1.0 | |
| FC Twente not to lose | 84% | |
| FC Utrecht not to lose | 39% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Twente
- FC Twente goals
- FC Utrecht goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Fortuna Sittard1:1
- 20.09PSV Eindhoven3:2
- 12.09ADO Den Haag2:0
- 09.09Telstar1:0
- 06.09away · FC Groningen2:2
- 11.10Willem II3:1
- 20.09away · Feyenoord0:5
- 13.09away · Excelsior2:1
- 08.09Go Ahead Eagles3:3
- 30.08PSV Eindhoven1:6
Head to head
- 15.03.2026FC Twente — FC Utrecht0:2
- 07.12.2025FC Utrecht — FC Twente1:1
- 11.05.2025FC Twente — FC Utrecht2:0
- 01.09.2024FC Utrecht — FC Twente2:1
- 18.02.2024FC Twente — FC Utrecht0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 8 | 5 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | +12 | 15 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 8 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 2 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
Eredivisie on the same day
- 3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.3
- 1824582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.4
- 3029412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- 6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →