Eredivisie (Netherlands), round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Cambuur — AZ Alkmaar
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
AZ Alkmaar are clear favourites: 64% against 14% for the opponent, draw 22%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings AZ Alkmaar are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Cambuur — No. 12, 8 pts; AZ Alkmaar — No. 3, 19 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Cambuur: unbeaten in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cambuur — AZ Alkmaar What is xG? | 1.1–2.3 | |
| Cambuur not to lose | 36% | |
| AZ Alkmaar not to lose | 86% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cambuur
- Cambuur goals
- AZ Alkmaar goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10away · PEC Zwolle1:0
- 19.09away · ADO Den Haag1:1
- 12.09NEC Nijmegen3:0
- 06.09away · Telstar2:2
- 30.08FC Twente1:4
- 10.10away · Feyenoord0:2
- 20.09Telstar1:0
- 16.09away · Sunderland0:1
- 11.09Willem II1:1
- 06.09away · SC Heerenveen3:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Champions League qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | +16 | 19 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 8 | 5 | +8 | 17 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 8 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 2 | -11 | 8 |
Eredivisie on the same day
- 2928442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.2
- 2127522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
- 6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.4
- 6920101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →