Russian Cup, round 6 · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3) · Futbol-Arena Enisey
FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Nizhny Novgorod
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:2Came true
In short
Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Nizhny Novgorod to win (40%), came true.
Evenly matched: FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 33%, Nizhny Novgorod 40%, draw 27%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Nizhny Novgorod What is xG? | 1.3–1.4 | |
| FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk not to lose | 60% | |
| Nizhny Novgorod not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
- FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk goals
- Nizhny Novgorod goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Match events
- 9′Aleksandr Lomakin · FC Yenisey Krasnoyarsk1:0
- 36′Gleb Popolitov · Nizhny Novgorod1:1
- 45′Vladimir Ignatenko · Nizhny Novgorod1:2
Form
- 14.10Kaluga2:0
- 15.10FC Ufa1:1
- 18.10away · FC Volgar0:1
- 26.05away · Zenit St. Petersburg1:4
- 19.05Dinamo Moscow2:2
- 14.10Shinnik Yaroslavl4:0
- 17.05away · Rubin Kazan2:2
- 11.05CSKA Moscow1:2
- 03.05away · FK Akhmat0:2
- 26.04Spartak Moscow1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Russian Cup on the same day
- 2525502The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →