Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Feignies Aulnoye — Croix
Model prediction and result
2:2Missed
In short
Final score 2:2: the model's most likely outcome, Feignies Aulnoye to win (49%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 49% fails in about 51 matches out of 100 on average.
Feignies Aulnoye are clear favourites: 49% against 26% for the opponent, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Feignies Aulnoye are 172 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Feignies Aulnoye — Croix What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| Feignies Aulnoye not to lose | 74% | |
| Croix not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
Form
- 19.12away · Lens1:3
- 29.11away · APM Metz2:0
- 15.11away · Cambrai4:0
- 26.10away · Montigny FC2:2
- 21.12Lyon1:2
- 19.12Reims0:4
- 29.11ASC Le Geldar2:1
- 15.11Racing Club de France2:2
- 26.10away · St Omer2:0
- 26.10Valenciennes3:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →