PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

Primera Nacional, round 35 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3) · Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry

Ferro Carril Oeste — CA Chaco For Ever

Model prediction and result

0:3Missed
Ferro Carril Oeste53%
Draw29%
CA Chaco For Ever19%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:3: the model's most likely outcome, Ferro Carril Oeste to win (53%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 53% fails in about 47 matches out of 100 on average.

Ferro Carril Oeste are clear favourites: 53% against 19% for the opponent, draw 29%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (1.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 46%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Ferro Carril Oeste are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
  • Ferro Carril Oeste are 156 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Last 3 meetings: Ferro Carril Oeste 2 wins, CA Chaco For Ever 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ferro Carril Oeste — CA Chaco For Ever What is xG?1.5–0.8
Ferro Carril Oeste not to lose81%
CA Chaco For Ever not to lose47%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes46%
Both teams to score: no54%
Total over 2.544%
Total under 2.556%

Match events

  1. 1′Matías Romero · CA Chaco For Ever0:1
  2. 23′David Valdez · CA Chaco For Ever
  3. 42′Lucas Mihovilcevich · CA Chaco For Ever
  4. 44′Ángel González · Ferro Carril Oeste
  5. 46′Mateo Díaz Chaves · CA Chaco For Ever0:2
  6. 61′Agustín Ojeda · CA Chaco For Ever
  7. 74′Matías Romero · CA Chaco For Ever0:3
  8. 85′Gustavo Canto · Ferro Carril Oeste
Substitutions (10)
  1. 46′Emanuel Dening ↔ Nicolás Reniero · Ferro Carril Oeste
  2. 46′Laureano Marra ↔ Gonzalo Castellani · Ferro Carril Oeste
  3. 63′Santiago Valenzuela ↔ Brian Nievas · CA Chaco For Ever
  4. 63′Andrés Lioi ↔ Mateo Díaz Chaves · CA Chaco For Ever
  5. 63′Lucas Pruzzo ↔ Agustín Ojeda · CA Chaco For Ever
  6. 66′Nicolás Gómez ↔ Matías Kabalín · Ferro Carril Oeste
  7. 72′Franco García ↔ Lautaro Parisi · Ferro Carril Oeste
  8. 72′Tiago Esidín ↔ Felipe Obradovich · Ferro Carril Oeste
  9. 82′Mauricio Tévez ↔ Juan Carrizo · CA Chaco For Ever
  10. 85′Juan Cerrudo ↔ Leandro Fernández · CA Chaco For Ever

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

Ferro Carril Oeste

  1. GKFernando Monetti
  2. DFFederico Tévez
  3. DFGustavo Canto
  4. DFEmiliano Ozuna
  5. DFNazareno Kihm
  6. MFGonzalo Castellani46′
  7. MFMatías Kabalín66′
  8. MFFelipe Obradovich72′
  9. FWNicolás Reniero46′
  10. FWÁngel González
  11. FWLautaro Parisi72′
Came on (5)
  1. MFNicolás Gómez24′
  2. MFLaureano Marra44′
  3. FWEmanuel Dening44′
  4. FWFranco García18′
  5. MFTiago Esidín18′

CA Chaco For Ever

  1. GKNicolás Caprio
  2. DFLucas Mihovilcevich
  3. DFAgustín Ojeda63′
  4. DFRicardo Garay
  5. DFDavid Valdez
  6. MFBrian Nievas63′
  7. MFEnzo Gaggi
  8. MFJuan Carrizo82′
  9. FWMateo Díaz Chaves63′
  10. FWLeandro Fernández85′
  11. FWMatías Romero
Came on (5)
  1. FWMauricio Tévez8′
  2. MFJuan Cerrudo5′
  3. MFAndrés Lioi27′
  4. MFSantiago Valenzuela27′
  5. DFLucas Pruzzo27′

Form

Ferro Carril Oeste

  • 18.10Racing de Córdoba1:0
  • 11.10away · Central Norte1:1
  • 03.10Deportivo Madryn0:2
  • 27.09away · CA Defensores de Belgrano1:0
  • 19.09Ciudad de Bolívar1:0

CA Chaco For Ever

  • 18.10Central Norte1:2
  • 11.10away · Deportivo Madryn2:1
  • 04.10CA Defensores de Belgrano2:2
  • 26.09away · Ciudad de Bolívar1:2
  • 20.09Almirante Brown1:0

Head to head

  • 07.06.2026CA Chaco For Ever — Ferro Carril Oeste1:2
  • 27.08.2023CA Chaco For Ever — Ferro Carril Oeste4:2
  • 17.04.2023Ferro Carril Oeste — CA Chaco For Ever2:1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →