Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Feurs — US Monistrol
Model prediction and result
4:1Came true
In short
Final score 4:1: the model's most likely outcome, Feurs to win (52%), came true.
Feurs are clear favourites: 52% against 23% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Feurs are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Feurs are 195 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Feurs — US Monistrol What is xG? | 1.7–1.1 | |
| Feurs not to lose | 77% | |
| US Monistrol not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
Form
- 29.11away · Hauts Lyonnais1:1
- 16.11away · Savigneux-Montbrison5:3
- 26.10away · Vic-le-Comte4:0
- 07.01St Priest3:5
- 10.12away · Hauts Lyonnais3:0
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →