Turkish Super Lig, round 11 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Gaziantep FK — Kasımpaşa
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Gaziantep FK are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 29%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Gaziantep FK — No. 12, 8 pts; Kasımpaşa — No. 9, 10 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Gaziantep FK 3 wins, Kasımpaşa 0, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gaziantep FK — Kasımpaşa What is xG? | 1.4–1.1 | |
| Gaziantep FK not to lose | 71% | |
| Kasımpaşa not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Gaziantep FK
- Gaziantep FK goals
- Kasımpaşa goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Çorum FK0:3
- 19.09away · Kocaelispor0:2
- 14.09Fenerbahçe0:0
- 07.09away · Göztepe4:2
- 29.08Rizespor1:2
- 09.10away · Galatasaray1:3
- 18.09Konyaspor0:0
- 13.09away · Gençlerbirliği2:1
- 06.09Amed Sportif2:2
- 30.08away · Başakşehir1:1
Head to head
- 09.02.2026Gaziantep FK — Kasımpaşa2:1
- 30.08.2025Kasımpaşa — Gaziantep FK2:3
- 24.05.2025Gaziantep FK — Kasımpaşa2:2
- 05.01.2025Kasımpaşa — Gaziantep FK2:2
- 21.04.2024Gaziantep FK — Kasımpaşa2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 9 | Kasımpaşa | 7 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 8 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Başakşehir | 7 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Gaziantep FK | 7 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gençlerbirliği | 7 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →