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Primera Nacional, round 34 · Monday, 19 October, (UTC+3) · Estadio Feliciano Gambarte

Godoy Cruz — Club Atlético Estudiantes

Model prediction and result

6:3Came true
Godoy Cruz51%
Draw29%
Club Atlético Estudiantes21%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 6:3: the model's most likely outcome, Godoy Cruz to win (51%), came true.

Godoy Cruz are clear favourites: 51% against 21% for the opponent, draw 29%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (1.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 46%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • Godoy Cruz are 114 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Godoy Cruz: unbeaten in 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Godoy Cruz — Club Atlético Estudiantes What is xG?1.4–0.8
Godoy Cruz not to lose79%
Club Atlético Estudiantes not to lose49%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes46%
Both teams to score: no54%
Total over 2.543%
Total under 2.557%

Match events

  1. 8′Gastón Gil Romero · Godoy Cruz
  2. 14′Ian Vera · Club Atlético Estudiantes0:1
  3. 25′Nahuel Brunet · Godoy Cruz
  4. 25′Darío Rostagno · Club Atlético Estudiantes
  5. 34′Vicente Poggi · Godoy Cruz1:1
  6. 40′Ian Vera · penalty · Club Atlético Estudiantes1:2
  7. 42′Martín Pino · Godoy Cruz2:2
  8. 44′Franco Quinteros · Club Atlético Estudiantes
  9. 46′Diego Viera · Godoy Cruz3:2
  10. 53′Axel Rodríguez · Godoy Cruz4:2
  11. 54′Rodrigo Fernández · Godoy Cruz
  12. 58′Martín Pino · Godoy Cruz5:2
  13. 70′Santiago Camacho · Club Atlético Estudiantes5:3
  14. 89′Martín Pino · Godoy Cruz6:3
  15. 89′Rodrigo Melo · Club Atlético Estudiantes
Substitutions (10)
  1. 11′Esteban Burgos ↔ Tomás Rossi · Godoy Cruz
  2. 46′Juan Morán ↔ Nahuel Brunet · Godoy Cruz
  3. 62′Benjamín Schamine ↔ Gastón Gil Romero · Godoy Cruz
  4. 62′Antonio Guerrero ↔ Rodrigo Fernández · Godoy Cruz
  5. 63′Santiago Camacho ↔ Enzo Acosta · Club Atlético Estudiantes
  6. 63′Tomás Squie ↔ Franco Quinteros · Club Atlético Estudiantes
  7. 71′Ezequiel Almirón ↔ Ian Vera · Club Atlético Estudiantes
  8. 75′Santiago Martínez ↔ Axel Rodríguez · Godoy Cruz
  9. 78′Mateo Acosta ↔ Darío Rostagno · Club Atlético Estudiantes
  10. 78′Matías Núñez ↔ Martín Albarracín · Club Atlético Estudiantes

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

Godoy Cruz

  1. GKJuan Strumia
  2. DFTomás Rossi11′
  3. DFFrancisco Gerometta
  4. DFNahuel Brunet46′
  5. DFDiego Viera
  6. MFRodrigo Fernández62′
  7. MFVicente Poggi
  8. MFGastón Gil Romero62′
  9. MFFelipe Cairus
  10. FWMartín Pino
  11. FWAxel Rodríguez75′
Came on (5)
  1. DFEsteban Burgos79′
  2. MFBenjamín Schamine28′
  3. DFJuan Morán44′
  4. MFSantiago Martínez15′
  5. FWAntonio Guerrero28′

Club Atlético Estudiantes

  1. GKJuan Lungarzo
  2. DFNicolás Caro Torres
  3. DFFranco Quinteros63′
  4. DFJorge Benítez
  5. DFMartín Albarracín78′
  6. MFRodrigo Melo
  7. MFFacundo Ardiles
  8. MFFederico Sena
  9. FWEnzo Acosta63′
  10. FWDarío Rostagno78′
  11. FWIan Vera71′
Came on (5)
  1. FWEzequiel Almirón19′
  2. FWMateo Acosta12′
  3. DFTomás Squie27′
  4. MFSantiago Camacho27′
  5. MFMatías Núñez12′

Form

Godoy Cruz

  • 13.10away · All Boys0:0
  • 05.10Los Andes2:1
  • 27.09away · Racing de Córdoba2:2
  • 20.09away · Deportivo Morón2:1
  • 14.09Colón2:0

Club Atlético Estudiantes

  • 11.10Deportivo Morón2:0
  • 03.10away · Colón0:1
  • 26.09CA San Miguel2:1
  • 19.09away · San Telmo1:0
  • 13.09Acassuso1:0

Head to head

  • 30.05.2026Club Atlético Estudiantes — Godoy Cruz1:0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →