Ghana Premier League, round 8 · Friday, 23 October, (UTC+3)
Hearts of Oak — Holy Stars
Model prediction and result
1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Hearts of Oak to win (71%), came true.
Hearts of Oak are clear favourites: 71% against 8% for the opponent, draw 21%.
The model expects few goals: 1.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 27%, both teams to score — 18%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Hearts of Oak are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Hearts of Oak are 198 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 4 meetings: Hearts of Oak 1 win, Holy Stars 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hearts of Oak — Holy Stars What is xG? | 1.4–0.3 | |
| Hearts of Oak not to lose | 92% | |
| Holy Stars not to lose | 29% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 18% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 82% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 27% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 73% |
Match events
- 82′Martin Karikari · Hearts of Oak1:0
Form
- 17.10away · Vision FC1:0
- 11.10Port City1:0
- 03.10away · Dreams FC0:0
- 26.09away · Karela United0:1
- 20.09Bechem United0:0
- 18.10Bechem United1:0
- 11.10away · Bibiani Gold Stars0:2
- 04.10Berekum Chelsea1:0
- 27.09away · Medeama SC1:4
- 20.09Ashanti Gold1:0
Head to head
- 08.03.2026Hearts of Oak — Holy Stars0:0
- 02.11.2025Holy Stars — Hearts of Oak1:2
- 26.01.2025Holy Stars — Hearts of Oak0:0
- 08.09.2024Hearts of Oak — Holy Stars0:1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →