Turkish Cup, round 3 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Inegölspor — Sebatspor

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Model prediction for 27 October

Inegölspor34%
Draw27%
Sebatspor39%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Inegölspor 34%, Sebatspor 39%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Inegölspor — Sebatspor What is xG?1.3–1.4
Inegölspor not to lose61%
Sebatspor not to lose66%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

181 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Inegölspor
  • Inegölspor goals
  • Sebatspor goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Inegölspor

  • 28.10away · Sakaryaspor0:4
  • 30.10away · Muş Spor1:2

Sebatspor

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Turkish Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →