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Argentine Liga Profesional · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Instituto — Newell's Old Boys

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Model prediction for 8 November

Instituto51%
Draw28%
Newell's Old Boys20%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Instituto are clear favourites: 51% against 20% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 40%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Instituto are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
  • Instituto are 186 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Instituto: unbeaten in 5.
  • Last 3 meetings: Instituto 2 wins, Newell's Old Boys 0, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Instituto — Newell's Old Boys What is xG?1.3–0.7
Instituto not to lose80%
Newell's Old Boys not to lose49%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes40%
Both teams to score: no60%
Total over 2.535%
Total under 2.565%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Instituto
  • Instituto goals
  • Newell's Old Boys goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatInstitutoNewell's Old Boys
Goals scored per match2.00.8
Goals conceded per match1.20.6
xG per match1.001.22
Opponents’ xG0.870.83
Shots12.611.0
On target4.03.7
Corners6.04.0
Cards2.82.2
Possession, %4652

Averages per match: Instituto — the last 10, Newell's Old Boys — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Instituto

  • 01.11away · Estudiantes3:3
  • 27.10Deportivo Riestra1:0
  • 17.10away · Defensa y Justicia1:0
  • 10.10Boca Juniors2:2
  • 03.10away · Independiente4:1

Newell's Old Boys

  • 02.11Unión1:1
  • 25.10away · San Lorenzo0:0
  • 20.10Central Córdoba2:1
  • 13.10away · Gimnasia Mendoza0:1
  • 03.10Lanús0:0

Head to head

  • 26.04.2026Newell's Old Boys — Instituto1:1
  • 14.06.2024Newell's Old Boys — Instituto0:2
  • 27.02.2023Instituto — Newell's Old Boys3:1

Full record: 3 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →